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The
following white paper was provided to Gibson Consulting Group through
the Society of Telecommunications Consultants (STC), of which Gibson
Consulting Group is a member. We believe the information presented is
especially timely and should be reviewed by our Clients and prospective
Clients based upon the problems currently occurring within the telecommunications
marketplace. If you have any questions regarding the information presented,
please feel free to contact our firm direct at 724/836-5378 or
gcg@gibsonconsultants.com
Does
the Worldcom Bankruptcy Put My Telecom Service at Risk?
Implications for Worldcom Customers and Non-Customers
Bill
Harrison
President, Epicom Corporation
Abstract
Although the likelihood of a major service outage as
a result of the Worldcom bankruptcy is small, there are still significant
risks to enterprise customers who rely on Worldcom for critical portions
of their telecom infrastructure. Customers of other carriers will be
affected, too. All customers need to take action now to review their
contracts, understand their legal rights and limitations, objectively
assess risks and costs, and most importantly, develop a comprehensive
contingency plan to mitigate risks and ensure trouble-free service throughout
the Worldcom restructuring.
As
anticipated, Worldcom filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection last
week, drawing to a close its struggle to remain an independent, viable,
ongoing concern in the face of enormous debt, an accounting scandal,
and an eroding telecommunications marketplace. In many ways, the Chapter
11 filing reduces pressure on Worldcom. It will allow management to
focus on restructuring and rebuilding without the constant distraction
of demanding creditors. But for Worldcom customers and prospects, the
bankruptcy filing raises new questions. Should customers be worried
about service outages? Should enterprise customers try to cancel their
Worldcom contracts? Should existing customers and prospects sign new
contracts with Worldcom? And, do Worldcom non-customers need to take
any action to protect their telecom service?
We have prepared this brief to answer these and other questions, provide
some guidance to our clients on the implications of the Worldcom bankruptcy,
and objectively assess the market risks of the telecom industry shakeup.
We hope this document will help our clients make better decisions about
the course of action they should take in the coming months.
Background
and Company History
Using
an aggressive acquisition strategy, Worldcom grew from very modest roots
to one of the largest telecommunication providers in the world over
the course of nearly two decades. Formed in 1983 as Long Distance Discount
Service (LDDS), in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, the company was privately
held until 1989. During the 1990’s LDDS made dozens of acquisitions,
renaming itself Worldcom in 1995. Some of Worldcom’s more notable
acquisitions include:
- Advanced
Telecommunications Corporation (1992), for $850 million
-
Metromedia Communications Corporation and Resurgens Communications Group
(1993), for $1.25 billion.
-
IDB Communications Group (1994), for $936 million.
-
Williams Telecommunications Group network services operations (1995),
for $2.5 billion.
-
MFS Communications Corporation and UUNet Technologies (1996), for $12
billion.
-
MCI Communications Corporation (1998) for $34.7 billion.
Other companies acquired by Worldcom include Brooks Fiber, Compuserve
Corporation, Advanced Network Services, and Skytel.
In 1999 Worldcom announced a planned $115 billion acquisition of Sprint
Corporation, the largest takeover in corporate history. This merger would
have created the largest telecom carrier in the country, however it met
with antitrust concerns by the federal government and merger plans were
eventually dropped.
Accounting
Irregularities
In
the weeks proceeding Worldcom’s bankruptcy, most press attention
focused on the firm’s extraordinary accounting scandal. Worldcom
disclosed that it had improperly accounted for billions of dollars in
expenses, artificially inflating the firm’s profits over the last
several quarters. It is important to remember that this scandal, on its
own, did not cause the downfall of the company. Worldcom was already in
serious financial trouble before the accounting irregularities were disclosed.
But the disclosure necessitated the restatement of several periods’
financial results and made Worldcom immediately in violation of loan covenants
to its debtors. This quickly precipitated a bankruptcy filing as the firm
scrambled to protect itself from creditors and gain breathing room to
work out a restructuring.
Bankruptcy
Filing
When Worldcom filed for bankruptcy protection on July 21, 2002, the company
listed $103.8 billion in assets, making it, by far, the largest bankruptcy
in U.S. corporate history. But Worldcom’s bankruptcy is not an isolated
event in the telecommunications industry. It is simply the largest and
most visible example of a massive shakeout that has claimed many other
telecom firms as victims. According to research by attorney Thomas K.
Crowe, 77 telecommunications companies sought bankruptcy protection in
2001, a substantial increase over the 20 telecom firms that filed for
bankruptcy in 2000. This trend has continued in 2002 with 17 firms filing
for bankruptcy in the first quarter alone.
Worldcom
has chosen to file for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 11 of the U.S.
Bankruptcy Code. Under Chapter 11, Worldcom will be allowed to continue
operations and will receive protection from creditor collection efforts
while the company forms a reorganization and restructuring plan. This
plan must eventually be approved by the bankruptcy court.
When Worldcom filed for bankruptcy, it had revenues of $35 billion per
year and debts of $41 billion. The firm was able to secure interim financing
of $750 million to meet immediate cash needs and is expected to receive
a full $2 billion in debtor-in-possession financing. This money is intended
to keep the company afloat while a restructuring plan is completed and
approved.
Implications for Worldcom and Other Enterprise Customers
Developing
a Contingency Plan
The most important task for the enterprise customer who relies on telecommunications
services for vital company operations is to honestly assess the risks
of the Worldcom bankruptcy and develop an appropriate contingency plan.
The specifics of this plan will vary by customer and will depend on several
factors:
- The
type and quantity of services currently purchased from Worldcom and
other carriers
-
The criticality of telecom services to your companies’ operations
- Alternate
services available in your area
- Internal
and external resources available to develop and execute a contingency
plan
To get started, enterprise customer should take the following steps:
-
Review your contract
– Any enterprise customer, whether or not a Worldcom customer,
should take time to review its carrier contracts. Understand the circumstances
under which you can exit the contract for cause. See if the contract
has language that addresses the financial viability of the carrier.
If necessary, consult an attorney or telecom consultant for help with
this assessment. It is important to understand your legal rights and
obligations during this time of industry crisis so that you can make
intelligent decisions and avoid service interruptions.
-
Determine your specific risks
– This article provides an overview of the likely risks encountered
by enterprise customers, but what are the specific risks your organization
is exposed to? Do you have services that are particularly vulnerable?
Does your organization rely heavily on a voice or data network for its
day-to-day operations? If so, what are the implications of an outage
to this network? What would happen if you had a delay in upgrading,
expanding, or reconfiguring your network?
-
Attach costs to specific risks – To fully appreciate
carrier risks, enterprise customers should attach costs to each risk
factor identified above. What is the cost of a network outage in your
organization at a single site? At more than one site? What is the cost
of delayed problem resolution or improper order entry as a result of
reduced carrier customer service?
-
Develop a diversification strategy – If you were
required to switch all or a portion of your services to another carrier
because of service problems, how would you do it? Which services are
most critical? How much lead time would you need to smoothly convert
services to another carrier? Which carriers are most likely to be able
to serve your needs?
-
Pre-negotiate alternate carrier agreements –
Once you have determined the actual risks and requirements for diversification,
contact alternate carriers and begin the process of negotiating an alternate
agreement. Even if you don’t plan to switch services right away,
this is a good opportunity to gauge the competitiveness of your current
carrier agreement and lock down pricing before the need is critical.
Besides, your negotiating position will be greatly enhanced if you are
operating from a position of strength, rather than waiting for a crisis
with your current carrier that puts you under undue pressure to move
quickly.
-
Don’t be surprised to see price increases –
All carriers are under huge financial pressure right now. Competition
has driven their profits into the ground and they are all looking for
ways to raise prices and increase profits. As large carriers falter,
don’t be surprised to see the remaining, stronger players use
the opportunity to increase prices. They will do so gladly if they
feel a price increase will not jeopardize their market share.
-
Determine switching costs
– Determine the actual costs of switching carriers or implementing
a diversification plan. How long will the conversion take? What is the
price differential between the old and new carrier? Will you need to
operate two networks simultaneously for some period in order to avoid
an outage?
-
Develop a cost/benefit analysis – By identifying
risks, understanding alternatives, and quantifying switching costs,
customers can develop an accurate cost/benefit analysis that details
the advantages and disadvantages of a carrier switch or diversification.
-
Get expert help – Consult an attorney experienced
in telecommunications matters if you have questions about your contract.
If you don’t have adequate in-house expertise, hire a consultant
to help you develop a contingency plan and assess your network risks.
Now is the Time to Act
Although the likelihood of a major service outage as a result of the
Worldcom bankruptcy is small, there are still significant risks to Worldcom
customers and non-customers. The Worldcom bankruptcy highlights the
risks of an increasingly unstable telecommunications services marketplace.
No carrier is immune to the problems that are currently befalling the
industry. Many weaker competitors have already declared bankruptcy, some
with little or no notice of service interruption to customers. And even
the traditionally strong competitors are facing significant pressure to
increase cash flow to maintain their debt loads amid decreasing prices
and modest increases in demand.
If you are responsible for managing your companies’ carrier relationships,
now is the time to raise the red flag and get serious about assessing
the true risks to your organization of this industry shakeout. You should
review your contracts, understand your legal rights and limitations, objectively
assess risks and costs, and most importantly, develop a comprehensive
contingency plan to mitigate risks and ensure trouble-free service. The
time will be well spent in the event of continued industry instability.
And in the best case, if there are no additional carrier failures and
Worldcom emerges from Chapter 11 as a viable, ongoing concern, your contingency
plan will prove to be an inexpensive insurance policy against carrier
risks and a solid roadmap during your next contract negotiation.
About The Author
Bill Harrison is President and founder of Epicom Corporation.
STC,
Member of Society of Telecommunications Consultants
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Contact Us
Gibson Consulting Group
4731 Rt. 30 Suite 303
Greensburg, PA 15601
Phone: 724/836-5378
800/251-SAVE(7283)
Fax: 724/836-1656
E-Mail: gcg@gibsonconsultants.com
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